{"id":8739,"date":"2023-11-21T06:29:47","date_gmt":"2023-11-21T03:29:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/?p=8739"},"modified":"2023-11-21T06:29:47","modified_gmt":"2023-11-21T03:29:47","slug":"yillik-enflasyon-dusse-de-fiyatlarin-yonu-hep-yukari-hep","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/?p=8739","title":{"rendered":"Y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon d\u00fc\u015fse de fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fc hep yukar\u0131, hep!"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Aral\u0131k 2021… Y\u0131ll\u0131k t\u00fcketici fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 36\u2019y\u0131 buluyor. 2000 sonras\u0131n\u0131n en y\u00fcksek y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131… 2021\u2019in eyl\u00fcl\u00fcnde ba\u015flat\u0131lan yeni ekonomi<\/a> politikas\u0131n\u0131n meyvesi hasat ediliyor adeta…<\/p>\n

Y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon 2022\u2019de giderek y\u00fckseliyor. Vatanda\u015f\u0131n \u201cBenim hissetti\u011fim \u00e7ok daha fena, bu oranlar ne ki<\/strong>\u201d dedi\u011fi d\u00f6nemin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131. Ekim ay\u0131na geliniyor, y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 86\u2019ya ula\u015farak rekor k\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Sonra d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ba\u015fl\u0131yor, y\u0131ll\u0131k oranda tabii ki. D\u00fcn yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z nedenle; malum baz etkisi. Fiyatlar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc tabii ki yok.<\/p>\n

Bu y\u0131l\u0131n haziran\u0131, y\u00fczde 38\u2019e kadar iniliyor. Oran g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ama vatanda\u015f inim inim inliyor. Y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon oran\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131-hayat pahal\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 yukar\u0131!<\/p>\n

\u201cSe\u00e7im bitti, art\u0131k d\u00f6viz<\/a> kurunu biraz b\u0131rakal\u0131m<\/strong>\u201d deniliyor, hem ba\u015fka \u00e7are de pek yok ve kur art\u0131yor. Bunun etkisiyle temmuz ve a\u011fustosta hi\u00e7 g\u00f6r\u00fclmedik art\u0131\u015flar ya\u015fan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Ve yine ayn\u0131 vaatler duyulmaya ba\u015flan\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

\u201cEnflasyon biraz daha y\u00fckselecek ama 2024 sonunda y\u00fczde 36\u2019ya inecek. Hele birka\u00e7 y\u0131l daha s\u0131k\u0131n di\u015finizi, tek haneyi g\u00f6rece\u011fiz.<\/strong>\u201d<\/p>\n

Y\u00fczde 36 ne zaman, 2024 sonunda, ger\u00e7ekle\u015firse o da…<\/p>\n

Diyelim ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Grafi\u011fin ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u201cBizim enflasyon tarih gibi, hep tekerr\u00fcr ediyor<\/strong>\u201d derken haks\u0131z m\u0131y\u0131z?<\/p>\n

\u00dc\u00e7 oran…<\/h3>\n

\u25a0 Aral\u0131k 2021\u2019de y\u0131ll\u0131k oran ka\u00e7, y\u00fczde 36…<\/p>\n

\u25a0 Aradan bir bu\u00e7uk y\u0131l ge\u00e7iyor, bu y\u0131l hazirandaki oran ka\u00e7, y\u00fczde 38…<\/p>\n

\u25a0 Bir bu\u00e7uk y\u0131l sonra Aral\u0131k 2024 i\u00e7in tahmin ka\u00e7, y\u00fczde 36…<\/p>\n

\u00dc\u00e7 y\u0131l ve ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z yere gelece\u011fiz, gelebilirsek e\u011fer… Bu ba\u015far\u0131 m\u0131 yani!<\/p>\n

Ya fiyatlar?<\/h3>\n

Y\u0131ll\u0131k oran \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131lda ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yere diyelim d\u00f6nd\u00fc. 2024 sonunda y\u00fczde 36 \u00e7ok ama \u00e7ok zor da, diyelim bu orana inildi.<\/p>\n

Peki ya fiyatlar\u0131n d\u00fczeyi ne oldu?<\/p>\n

T\u00fcketici fiyat endeksini herhangi bir t\u00fcketim kalemi gibi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilirsiniz.<\/p>\n

T\u00dcFE 2021\u2019in aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda 687 d\u00fczeyindeydi. Varsayal\u0131m o ay bir t\u00fcketim mal\u0131 i\u00e7in 687 lira \u00f6d\u00fcyordunuz.<\/p>\n

Y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon oran\u0131 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda cebinizden \u00e7\u0131kan para tabii ki art\u0131yor da, y\u0131ll\u0131k oran geriledi\u011finde cebinizden daha az m\u0131 para \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor, hay\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u00d6rne\u011fin enflasyonun y\u00fczde 86 ile zirve yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ekiminde cebinizden \u00e7\u0131kan para 1.084 liraya y\u00fckselmi\u015f.<\/p>\n

Peki y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonun y\u00fczde 38\u2019e indi\u011fi bu y\u0131l haziranda ayl\u0131k olarak ne harcam\u0131\u015fs\u0131n\u0131z, 1.352 lira.<\/p>\n

Seneye aral\u0131kta yeniden y\u00fczde 36\u2019y\u0131 yakalayabildi\u011fimizde bile cebinizden ayl\u0131k 2.532 lira \u00e7\u0131kacak.<\/p>\n

\u25a0 Aral\u0131k 2021\u2019de enflasyon y\u00fczde 36 iken 100 lira harc\u0131yorsunuz.<\/p>\n

\u25a0 Haziran 2022\u2019de enflasyon y\u00fczde 38\u2019e indi\u011finde harcanan para 197 liraya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u25a0 2024\u2019\u00fcn aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon tahmin edildi\u011fi gibi y\u00fczde 36\u2019ya indi\u011finde ise harcanan para 369 liray\u0131 bulacak.<\/p>\n

Y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l \u00f6nceki d\u00fczeyde ama cepten \u00e7\u0131kan para 100\u2019den 369\u2019a \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f.<\/p>\n

Tabii ki bu hesaplama T\u00dcFE\u2019nin ger\u00e7ek fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131m\u0131na dayan\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131ca unutulmamal\u0131 ki T\u00dcFE \u00e7ok ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcyor olsa bile bu oranlar ortalama de\u011fi\u015fimi g\u00f6steriyor. Vatanda\u015f\u0131n, geliri d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fck\u00e7e zorunlu harcamalara a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k vermek durumunda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131, bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede harcaman\u0131n \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n g\u0131da ve bar\u0131nmaya yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131, bu kalemlerdeki fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n da ortalaman\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcnde oldu\u011fu biliniyor.<\/p>\n

Bir yanl\u0131\u015f var da, nerede?<\/h3>\n

Y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon oran\u0131 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor, iniyor, \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor, tekrar iniyor ya da inece\u011fi umuluyor.<\/p>\n

Enflasyon 2024 sonunda de\u011filse bile bir g\u00fcn inecektir, bu kesin; ama \u00f6nemli olan orada tutabilmek.<\/p>\n

Niye bu dalgalanmay\u0131 ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcnde durmak gerekmez mi? Ekonomi y\u00f6netimi yanl\u0131\u015f tercihlerde bulunup hata m\u0131 yap\u0131yor, yoksa onlar i\u015flerine kar\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in istemeye istemeye yanl\u0131\u015f kararlar m\u0131 al\u0131yor?<\/p>\n

Nas\u0131l oldu\u011fu asl\u0131nda ikinci planda… Sonu\u00e7ta birileri yanl\u0131\u015f yap\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Tekrar grafi\u011fe d\u00f6nelim…<\/p>\n

Grafikteki oranlar\u0131 g\u00f6steren k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 \u00e7izgi fazla \u00f6nemli say\u0131lmaz.<\/p>\n

As\u0131l o kutular var ya, koyu renkle ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen d\u00f6nemi, a\u00e7\u0131k renkle gelecek d\u00f6nemi g\u00f6steren kutular; onlar fiyatlar\u0131n s\u00fcrekli artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve vatanda\u015f\u0131n bu fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda hep yenik d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

Ve d\u00fcn de s\u00f6yledi\u011fimiz gibi \u015fu enflasyonda da ne bel varm\u0131\u015f; birka\u00e7 y\u0131lda bir k\u0131r\u0131lmakla(!) birlikte adeta dokuz canl\u0131, hi\u00e7bir \u015fey olmuyor!<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

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[ad_1] Aral\u0131k 2021… Y\u0131ll\u0131k t\u00fcketici fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 36\u2019y\u0131 buluyor. 2000 sonras\u0131n\u0131n en y\u00fcksek y\u0131ll\u0131k<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8740,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8739","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8739","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8739"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8739\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/8740"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8739"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8739"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8739"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}