{"id":7959,"date":"2023-11-09T00:56:57","date_gmt":"2023-11-08T21:56:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/?p=7959"},"modified":"2023-11-09T00:56:57","modified_gmt":"2023-11-08T21:56:57","slug":"moodys-turkiyenin-buyume-tahminini-acikladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/?p=7959","title":{"rendered":"Moody’s, T\u00fcrkiye’nin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Moody’s, K\u00fcresel Makro G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm 2024-25 Raporu’nu “Devam eden k\u00fcresel yava\u015flaman\u0131n ortas\u0131nda G20’nin b\u00fcy\u00fcme dinamikleri farkl\u0131la\u015f\u0131yor” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Raporda, y\u00fcksek faiz<\/a> oranlar\u0131 kredi kanallar\u0131 arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla reel ekonomiye yay\u0131ld\u0131k\u00e7a k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2024’te yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131 politika duru\u015funu s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi nedeniyle 2024’te talebin yava\u015flamas\u0131yla enflasyonun so\u011fumaya devam edece\u011fi belirtilen raporda, beklenmedik \u015foklar olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2025’te g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesinin beklendi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, G20 ekonomilerinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,8, gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,1 ve 2025’te y\u00fczde 2,6 olmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi belirtildi. Moody’s a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda yay\u0131mlanan tahminlerinde, G20 ekonomilerinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,5 ve gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

G20’nin geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 1,7, gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 1 ve 2025’te y\u00fczde 1,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011finin tahmin edildi\u011fi, geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerin ise bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 4,3, gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,7 ve 2025’te y\u00fczde 3,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

ABD’nin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi gelecek y\u0131l yava\u015flayacak<\/h3>\n

Raporda ABD ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmaya devam etti\u011fi ancak 2024’te yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi. ABD ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,9’dan y\u00fczde 2,4’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131, gelecek y\u0131l ise y\u00fczde 1 olarak korundu\u011fu belirtildi. ABD ekonomisinin 2025’te ise y\u00fczde 2 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi tahmin edildi.<\/p>\n

Euro<\/a> B\u00f6lgesi’nin ise 2023’te daha sert bir darbe ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin 2024’te de zay\u0131f kalaca\u011f\u0131 belirtilen raporda, b\u00f6lge ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 0,7 olarak korundu\u011fu, gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in ise y\u00fczde 1,2’den y\u00fczde 1,1’e \u00e7ekildi\u011fi kaydedildi. Avro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomisinin 2025’te ise y\u00fczde 1,7 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Raporda, \u00c7in ekonomisinin ise 2023’te y\u00fczde 5’lik b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefine ula\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi, ancak b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2024 ve 2025’te y\u00fczde 4’e gerileyece\u011finin tahmin edildi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye’nin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 4,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor<\/h3>\n

Moody’s’in raporunda, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 4,2, gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,6 ve 2025’te y\u00fczde 3 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

Kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu, daha \u00f6nce T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 4,2 ve gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Enflasyonun 2025 sonuna kadar \u00e7o\u011fu G20 ekonomisinde hedefe d\u00f6nmesi bekleniyor<\/h3>\n

\u00d6te yandan, tahvil getirilerinde son d\u00f6nemde ya\u015fanan y\u00fckseli\u015fin k\u0131smen tersine d\u00f6nece\u011fi dile getirilen raporda, d\u00fc\u015fen b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 ve enflasyonun faiz indirimlerini yakla\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 nedeniyle ABD’nin 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizinin 2024’te y\u00fczde 4 civar\u0131ndaki uzun vadeli dengeye gerilemesinin beklendi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Raporda, enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimiyle b\u00fcy\u00fck merkez bankalar\u0131 i\u00e7in politika faizlerinin zirveye ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

Enflasyonun gerilemeye devam edece\u011fi belirtilen raporda, enflasyonun 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 sonuna kadar \u00e7o\u011fu G20 ekonomisinde hedefe geri d\u00f6nmesinin beklendi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, iklim veya jeopolitik olaylar\u0131n ise enerji<\/a> ve g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131ndaki ani art\u0131\u015flardan kaynaklanan dalgalanmalara yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulunuldu.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

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[ad_1] Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Moody’s, K\u00fcresel Makro G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm 2024-25 Raporu’nu “Devam eden k\u00fcresel yava\u015flaman\u0131n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7960,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7959","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7959","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7959"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7959\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/7960"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7959"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7959"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7959"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}