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\u015eu anda kurals\u0131z ve hakemsiz bir oyun oynan\u0131yor d\u00fcnyada ve sanki herkes bundan zarar g\u00f6recek gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. So\u011fuk Sava\u015f\u2019\u0131n sona erdi\u011fi d\u00f6nemde d\u00fcnyaya yay\u0131lan iyimserlik yerini yayg\u0131n bir karamsarl\u0131\u011fa b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n
Berlin Duvar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n y\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131 ve Sovyet imparatorlu\u011funun \u00e7\u00f6kmesi sonras\u0131nda sava\u015flar \u00e7a\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bitti\u011fi ve kapitalizmin k\u00fcreselle\u015fmesi sayesinde ekonomik kalk\u0131nman\u0131n d\u00fcnyaya yay\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 inanc\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenmi\u015fti. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te baz\u0131 piyasa \u015foklar\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131, \u00f6rne\u011fin 1998\u2019deki Rusya krizi sonras\u0131nda ABD\u2019de Long Term Capital Management adl\u0131 \u00f6nemli finans kurulu\u015funun batma noktasna gelmesi finans d\u00fcnyas\u0131nda bir \u015fok yaratt\u0131 ama ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Greenspan\u2019\u0131n \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde atlat\u0131ld\u0131 bu f\u0131rt\u0131na.<\/p>\n
Her \u015feyin yolunda gitti\u011fi inanc\u0131na a\u011f\u0131r darbe vuran b\u00fcy\u00fck olay ise ABD\u2019nin u\u011frad\u0131\u011f\u0131 11 Eyl\u00fcl sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 oldu. ABD\u2019nin bu sald\u0131r\u0131ya kar\u015f\u0131 verdi\u011fi irrasyonel tepki ise sava\u015f sanayine yarayacak yeni bir d\u00f6nemi ba\u015flatt\u0131. Dinlerin be\u015fi\u011fi Ortado\u011fu sava\u015f alan\u0131na d\u00f6nd\u00fc. D\u00fcnya finans piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 sarsan 2008 krizi ise sistemde sorunlar bulundu\u011furu hat\u0131rlatt\u0131 herkese. <\/p>\n
Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n hakimiyeti sars\u0131l\u0131nca<\/strong><\/p>\n Kapitalizmi benimsemi\u015f olan Bat\u0131 d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde ya\u015fanan k\u00fcreselle\u015fme s\u00fcrecinde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir ekonomik d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren \u00c7in d\u00fcnyan\u0131n dengelerini de\u011fi\u015ftiren bir g\u00fc\u00e7 haline geldi. Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kurgulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 senaryo kapitalizmin k\u00fcreselle\u015fmesini sa\u011flad\u0131 ama d\u00fcnyan\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7 dengelerini de\u011fi\u015ftirdi ve Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n hakimiyetini sarst\u0131 bu s\u00fcre\u00e7.<\/p>\n Bug\u00fcn gelinen noktada ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan tablo, 2.D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131 sonras\u0131nda d\u00fcnyada bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n korunmas\u0131 amac\u0131yla kurulan Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler\u2019in bu i\u015flevini yerine getiremez duruma d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019nun yeniden kaynamaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve ABD\u2019nin de duruma el koyacak kabiliyette olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Avrupa ise kendi aleminde ve etkili bir konumda de\u011fil. <\/p>\n \u0130nsanl\u0131k dram\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131yor<\/strong><\/p>\n Do\u011fan bo\u015flukta b\u00fcy\u00fck bir insanl\u0131k dram\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131yor \u015fimdi, hakemsiz ve kurals\u0131z bir oyun oynan\u0131yor ve buna seyirci kal\u0131n\u0131yor. \u00d6te yandan Rusya ile Ukrayna aras\u0131ndaki sava\u015f s\u00fcr\u00fcyor ve silah sanayini mutlu eden geli\u015fmeler birbirini izliyor. \u00c7in y\u00f6netimi ise kendi ekonomisindeki sorunlarla bo\u011fu\u015furken bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te aktif bir rol oynamaya pek hevesli g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. Sanki b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcyle kontrolden \u00e7\u0131kacak ve \u00e7ok cana malolacak bir felaketin e\u015fi\u011findeyiz.<\/p>\n Ortado\u011fu\u2019da kazan kaynarken iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi ve k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nma gibi gelece\u011fimizi tehdit eden yak\u0131c\u0131 sorunlar ise bir kez daha ikinci plana itilmi\u015f durumda. Bu konudaki etkili \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131yla d\u00fcnyada hakl\u0131 bir \u00fcne kavu\u015fmu\u015f olan Greta Gr\u00fcnberg\u2019in \u0130srail\u2019e girmesi yasakland\u0131 Filistin halk\u0131n\u0131n dram\u0131n\u0131 dile getirdi\u011fi i\u00e7in. <\/p>\n Piyasalara nas\u0131l yans\u0131yacak?<\/strong><\/p>\n Bu \u00fcrk\u00fct\u00fcc\u00fc tablonun d\u00fcnya ekonomisini ve piyasalar\u0131 nas\u0131l etkileyece\u011fi konusunda ise farkl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler var. IMF ve OECD\u2019nin son raporlar\u0131 2024 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n 2003\u2019den daha k\u00f6t\u00fc bir y\u0131l olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin hemen her yerde yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Ancak Covit pandemisi ya\u015fan\u0131rken de g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi, finans<\/a> piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n kendilerine \u00f6zg\u00fc bir tepki verme s\u00fcreci var. Pandemi d\u00f6neminde New York hastanelerinde panik ya\u015fan\u0131rken Wall Street\u2019de k\u0131sa s\u00fcren bir \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015ften sonra rekor y\u00fckseli\u015fler g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc unutmayal\u0131m.<\/p>\n Financial Times yazar\u0131 Ruchir Sharma, finans piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n bireylerden farkl\u0131 olarak kolektif bir akla sahip oldu\u011funu ve jeopolitik riskleri de buna g\u00f6re de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fini belirtiyor. Borsalar \u015fu an i\u00e7in pani\u011fe kap\u0131lma moduna girmi\u015f de\u011fil Sharma\u2019ya g\u00f6re. <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n