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T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet\u00a0Merkez Bankas\u0131\u00a0(TCMB) Ekim ay\u0131 Piyasa Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Anketi’ni yay\u0131mlad\u0131.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Ankette, cari y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi y\u00fczde 68,01 oldu. Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n cari y\u0131l sonu T\u00dcFE beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 67,22 olmu\u015ftu. Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n y\u0131l sonu enflasyon tahmini y\u00fczde 68,01 olurken dolar tahmini ise 30,05 olarak belirtildi.<\/p>\n
\u00a0TCMB, Piyasa Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Anketi’nin kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131 listesini, anketin temsil g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 amac\u0131yla bu anketle beraber g\u00fcncelledi. \u00d6nceki anketlerde 41 kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131 sorular\u0131 yan\u0131tlarken, bu ankette 70 ki\u015fiden yan\u0131t al\u0131nd\u0131.<\/p>\n
TCMB Ekim ay\u0131 Piyasa Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Anketi’nin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle:<\/strong><\/p>\n “Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n cari y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 67,22 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 68,01 olmu\u015ftur. 12 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 44,94 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 45,28 olmu\u015ftur. 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi ise ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6nemlerinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 23,87 ve y\u00fczde 25,82 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 Ekim ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 12 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin olas\u0131l\u0131k tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 14,77 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 37,00 \u2013 42,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 56,03 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 43,00 \u2013 48,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 18,77 olas\u0131l\u0131kla ise y\u00fczde 49,00 – 54,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n Ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler (2) esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re ise, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 18,46\u2019s\u0131n\u0131n beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 37,00 \u2013 42,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 56,92\u2019sinin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 43,00 \u2013 48,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 15,38\u2019inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 49,00 \u2013 54,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlenmektedir.<\/p>\n 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 Ekim ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 24 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin olas\u0131l\u0131k tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 41,66 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 19,00 \u2013 24,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 30,31 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 25,00 \u2013 30,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 16,52 olas\u0131l\u0131kla ise y\u00fczde 31,00 \u2013 36,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir .<\/p>\n Ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler(2) esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re, 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE enflasyonu beklentileri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 33,87\u2018sinin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 19,00 – 24,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 35,48\u2018inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 25,00 \u2013 30,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 17,74\u2018\u00fcn\u00fcn beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 31,00 \u2013 36,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlenmektedir<\/p>\n Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n B\u0130ST Repo ve Ters-Repo Pazar\u0131\u2019nda olu\u015fan cari ay sonu gecelik faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 29,26 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 33,22 olmu\u015ftur. TCMB bir hafta vadeli repo ihale faiz oran\u0131 cari ay sonu beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 30,00 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 33,68 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n cari y\u0131l sonu d\u00f6viz kuru (ABD Dolar\u0131\/TL) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 30,14 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 30,05 TL olmu\u015ftur. 12 ay sonras\u0131 d\u00f6viz kuru beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 37,26 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 38,64 TL olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir.<\/span><\/p>\n Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n GSYH 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,9 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 4,1 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. GSYH 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,8 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,4 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir.”<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\nDolar tahmini ne kadar oldu?<\/span><\/h2>\n