Emre ERG\u00dcL<\/strong><\/p>\n Petrol \u0130hra\u00e7 Eden \u00dclkeler \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn (OPEC) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Heysem Faysal el-Gays, enerji g\u00fcvenli\u011fi, fiyatlardaki y\u00fckseli\u015f ve Brent petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 100 dolara ula\u015fma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n tart\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nemde, CNN Televizyonu\u2019na konu\u015ftu; petrol end\u00fcstrisiyle ilgili t\u00fcm merak edilenleri anlatt\u0131. Brent petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131n seyri, sekt\u00f6rde en \u00e7ok konu\u015fulan konular\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda geliyor.<\/p>\n OPEC’in \u00fcretim kesintilerinin arz\u0131 etkilemesi ve ABD ekonomisinin diren\u00e7li olmas\u0131 nedeniyle talebin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olmas\u0131 nedeniyle petrol fiyatlar\u0131 son aylarda h\u0131zla y\u00fckseldi. Brent ham petrol\u00fc, haziran ortas\u0131ndaki en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesinden bu yana y\u00fczde 29 artt\u0131. Ge\u00e7en hafta ise Suudi Arabistan ve Rusya’n\u0131n uzat\u0131lm\u0131\u015f \u00fcretim kesintilerinin deste\u011fiyle varil ba\u015f\u0131na 97 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; ki bu ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz kas\u0131m ay\u0131ndan bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviye oldu.<\/p>\n Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolara ula\u015f\u0131p ula\u015fmayaca\u011f\u0131 soruldu\u011funda OPEC\u2019in Kuveytli Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015fu yan\u0131t\u0131 verdi: “Bu rakama yol a\u00e7abilecek fakt\u00f6rler bir s\u00fcredir varlar ve var olmaya devam ediyorlar.\u201d El-Gays, bu fakt\u00f6rlerin ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131 \u201cyetersiz yat\u0131r\u0131m\u201d\u0131n \u00e7ekti\u011finin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izdi ve ekledi: \u201cD\u00fcnyan\u0131n bunu anlamas\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.\u201d<\/p>\n El-Gays, i\u015fte nu noktada enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015fa dikkat \u00e7ekti. K\u00fcresel ekonomi enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda ani bir art\u0131\u015ftan ka\u00e7\u0131nmak isteniyorsa, petrol end\u00fcstrisinin yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde artmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yleyen OPEC Ba\u015fkan\u0131, 2045 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn potansiyel olarak daha pahal\u0131 ham petrolden ka\u00e7\u0131nmak i\u00e7in en az 12 trilyon dolarl\u0131k yat\u0131r\u0131ma ihtiya\u00e7 duyaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n Petrol sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc yetersiz yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n tehlikeli oldu\u011fu konusunda uyaran Ba\u015fkan \u015f\u00f6yle devam etti: \u201cYetersiz yat\u0131r\u0131m yaparak asl\u0131nda enerji g\u00fcvenli\u011fini tehlikeye at\u0131yoruz… Bu (yat\u0131r\u0131m) olmadan, talep artt\u0131k\u00e7a fiyatlar\u0131n ve oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n da artaca\u011f\u0131na dair ciddi olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.\u201d<\/p>\n El-Gays\u2019e g\u00f6re, n\u00fcfus ve ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n gelecekteki enerji gereksinimlerinin yaln\u0131zca yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklar\u0131yla veya bir enerji kayna\u011f\u0131 olarak hidrojene g\u00fcvenerek kar\u015f\u0131lanmas\u0131n\u0131n “d\u00fcnya \u00fczerinde hi\u00e7bir yolu olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131” anlam\u0131na geliyor\u2026 Bu y\u00fczden de Ba\u015fkan, insanlar\u0131n d\u00fcnyan\u0131n yeterli enerjiye (istikrarl\u0131, uygun fiyatl\u0131, g\u00fcvenilir, kesintili olmayan enerji kaynaklar\u0131na) sahip oldu\u011fundan emin olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011finin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izdi.<\/p>\n \u201cYetersiz yat\u0131r\u0131m\u201d El-Gays\u2019in ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fczenlenen ADIPEC Enerji Konferans\u0131\u2019ndaki konu\u015fmas\u0131nda da yer verdi\u011fi bu konu oldu. OPEC Ba\u015fkan\u0131 konferansta da \u201cYetersiz yat\u0131r\u0131m yaparak asl\u0131nda enerji g\u00fcvenli\u011fini tehlikeye at\u0131yoruz. Talep artt\u0131k\u00e7a fiyatlar\u0131n ve oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n da artaca\u011f\u0131na dair ciddi olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum\u201d demi\u015fti.<\/p>\n \u201cPetrol talebi bu y\u0131l devam edecek\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n Petrol ihra\u00e7 eden 23 \u00fclkeden olu\u015fan OPEC\u2019in Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Heysem el-Gays\u2019in ADIPEC Enerji Konferans\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir di\u011fer TV kanal\u0131 da \u0130ngiliz BBC oldu. Kuveytli Ba\u015fkan petrol talebiyle ilgili konu\u015ftu: \u201cPetrol bu y\u0131l artmaya devam edecek. Talebin g\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k 2.4 milyon varil artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.\u201d Suudi Arabistan, ham petrol \u00fcretimini g\u00fcnde 1 milyon, Rusya da 300 bin varil azaltaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n \u0130ki \u00fclkenin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu karar\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir arz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131na neden olabilece\u011fini belirten el-Gays, “Bu karar, belirsizlikler nedeniyle ihtiyati veya \u00f6nleyici olarak tan\u0131mlanabilir\u201d dedi ve ekledi: “Gelecek y\u0131l, talep g\u00fcnde 2 milyon varilin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kacak. Elbette bu, k\u00fcresel pazardaki baz\u0131 belirsizliklere ba\u011fl\u0131. Yine de k\u00fcresel talebin artaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda h\u00e2l\u00e2 olduk\u00e7a iyimseriz. Bu y\u0131l olduk\u00e7a dayan\u0131kl\u0131 olun.\u201d<\/p>\n El-Gays’\u0131n petrol rezervi IEA Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Birol\u2019dan 1 hafta sonra konu\u015fmas\u0131 dikkat \u00e7ekti<\/strong><\/p>\n OPEC Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Heysem Faysal el-Gays\u2019in yat\u0131r\u0131m \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n zamanlamas\u0131 dikkat \u00e7ekti. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc el-Gays\u2019\u0131n uyar\u0131s\u0131, Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131’n\u0131n (IEA) k\u00fcresel petrol, do\u011falgaz ve k\u00f6m\u00fcr talebinin 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar zirveye ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rmesinden sadece bir hafta sonra geldi.<\/p>\n IEA Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Fatih Birol \u015fu a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131: \u201cYaln\u0131zca d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131ndaki h\u00fck\u00fcmetlerin – herhangi bir yeni iklim politikas\u0131 olmasa bile – bug\u00fcnk\u00fc politika belirlemelerine dayanarak, \u00fc\u00e7 fosil yak\u0131t\u0131n herbirine olan talebin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda zirveye ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu 10 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde her yak\u0131t i\u00e7in talepte ilk kez bir zirve g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; bir\u00e7ok insan\u0131n bekledi\u011finden daha erken.”<\/p>\n Birol, \u00fcretilen ve atmosferden uzakla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lan t\u00fcm emisyonlar dikkate al\u0131narak, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n 2050 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar gezegen \u0131s\u0131nma emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 net olarak s\u0131f\u0131ra indirme \u015fans\u0131 varsa, yeni petrol ve gaz projelerine yap\u0131lan harcamalar\u0131n derhal durdurulmas\u0131 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu: \u201cD\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda yenilenebilir enerjideki b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015fa ra\u011fmen, k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nmay\u0131 sanayi \u00f6ncesi seviyelerin 1.5 santigrat derece \u00fczerinde s\u0131n\u0131rlamak (a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 hava ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n felaket etkisi yarataca\u011f\u0131 e\u015fik) hala bir sorun olmaya devam ediyor.\u201d<\/p>\n IEA tahminlerine g\u00f6re, bu hedefe ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in fosil yak\u0131tlara olan k\u00fcresel talebin 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar mevcut seviyelere g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 25 oran\u0131nda azalmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Ancak OPEC Ba\u015fkan\u0131, \u00f6zellikle n\u00fcfus ve ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, fosil yak\u0131tlar\u0131n d\u00fcnyadaki enerji ortam\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir bile\u015feni olmaya devam edece\u011finin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izdi. CNN’e, yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n veya hidrojenin tek ba\u015f\u0131na gelecekteki enerji talebini kar\u015f\u0131lamaya yetmeyece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. El-Gays, fosil yak\u0131t t\u00fcketiminin k\u00fcresel enerji talebi i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131n\u0131n son 30 y\u0131lda neredeyse hi\u00e7 de\u011fi\u015fmedi\u011fi g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, bu azaltma hedefine ula\u015fman\u0131n \u201cmuazzam bir zorluk\u201d olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n \u00a0<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/i.dunya.com\/storage\/files\/images\/2023\/10\/03\/1-h5lr.jpg\")
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