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Emre ERG\u00dcL<\/strong><\/p>\n Amerika\u2019da 1 Ekim\u2019de ba\u015flayacak yeni mali y\u0131la \u00e7ok az s\u00fcre kald\u0131 ve Kongre\u2019den h\u00e2l\u00e2 federal h\u00fck\u00fcmete finansman sa\u011flayacak b\u00fct\u00e7e tasar\u0131s\u0131 \u00fczerinde bir anla\u015fma sa\u011fland\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair haber \u00e7\u0131kmad\u0131.<\/p>\n \u00c7ok uluslu ABD yat\u0131r\u0131m bankas\u0131 Goldman Sachs\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fekonomisti Jan Hatzius\u2019a g\u00f6re de Kongre \u00fcyeleri b\u00fct\u00e7e yasas\u0131nda \u201cmuhtemelen bir uzla\u015fmaya varamayacak\u201d ve \u201cABD h\u00fck\u00fcmeti son 10 y\u0131lda d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc kez k\u0131smi kapanmaya gidecek.\u201d Hatzius hafta i\u00e7inde yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 notta, \u201cBu y\u0131l bir h\u00fck\u00fcmetin kapanmas\u0131 birka\u00e7 ayd\u0131r olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyordu. \u015eimdi de bu ihtimalin y\u00fczde 90\u2019a y\u00fckseldi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n “Daha uzun bir kapatma olabilir”<\/strong><\/p>\n \u201cKongre’nin finansman\u0131 30 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019den sonraya kadar uzatmak i\u00e7in son dakika anla\u015fmas\u0131na varma \u015fans\u0131 h\u00e2l\u00e2 mevcut olsa da, \u00e7ok az ilerleme kaydedildi ve \u00e7ok az zaman kald\u0131\u201d diyen Hatzius, \u201cH\u00fck\u00fcmet 1 Ekim\u2019de kapan\u0131rsa, siyasi konumlar daha da sa\u011flamla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in h\u0131zl\u0131 bir yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lma pek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor\u201d diye uyard\u0131. Hatzius kapatman\u0131n muhtemelen iki ila \u00fc\u00e7 hafta s\u00fcrece\u011finin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izdi.<\/p>\n Hatzius, ekonomiyi yava\u015flatman\u0131n \u00f6tesinde, h\u00fck\u00fcmetin kapat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n Federal Rezerv\u2019in para politikas\u0131n\u0131 belirlemek i\u00e7in kullanaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6nemli verilerin a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131n\u0131 geciktirebilece\u011fi konusunda uyard\u0131. K\u0131demli ekonomist Aichi Amemiya liderli\u011findeki bir ekip de Hatzius\u2019un g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne destek \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve h\u00fck\u00fcmetin kapat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n 1 ila 2 hafta s\u00fcrmesini beklediklerini; ancak \u201cdaha uzun bir kapatman\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funu\u201d s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n Seyahat ekonomisine g\u00fcnl\u00fck zarar\u0131 140 milyon dolar<\/strong><\/p>\n \u00a0Amerikan kanunlar\u0131na g\u00f6re Kongre, 1 Ekim\u2019de ba\u015flay\u0131p 30 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de sona eren mali y\u0131l i\u00e7in kal\u0131c\u0131 b\u00fct\u00e7eyi onaylayamazsa ge\u00e7ici b\u00fct\u00e7elerle aran\u0131n kapat\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Ge\u00e7ici b\u00fct\u00e7enin de onaylanamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde harcama yetkisini kaybeden federal kurumlar, ge\u00e7ici olarak faaliyetlerini durduruyor.<\/p>\n Bu durum, mali y\u0131l ba\u015flamadan h\u00fck\u00fcmete fon sa\u011flayacak bir yasan\u0131n ge\u00e7irilmemesi halinde federal h\u00fck\u00fcmetin operasyonlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funun durmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. S\u00f6z konusu durum tam anlam\u0131yla bir ekonomik kriz olu\u015fturmasa da ABD\u2019de ya\u015fam\u0131n federal h\u00fck\u00fcmetle etkile\u015fimde oldu\u011fu bir\u00e7ok b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde aksama ya\u015fanmas\u0131 riski ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te hayati olmayan kamu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131 zorunlu izne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131l\u0131rken; ABD ordusu, Merkezi \u0130stihbarat Te\u015fkilat\u0131 (CIA), Federal Soru\u015fturma B\u00fcrosu (FBI) ve Ulusal G\u00fcvenlik Ajans\u0131 (NSA) gibi istihbarat kurumlar\u0131, kamu hastanelerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan doktor ve hem\u015fireler, havaalanlar\u0131 ve hapishanelerdeki g\u00fcvenlik g\u00f6revlileri gibi kamu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131 g\u00f6revlerine devam ediyor. ABD Seyahat Birli\u011fi’ne g\u00f6re, federal h\u00fck\u00fcmetin kapat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n ABD\u2019nin seyahat ekonomisine g\u00fcnl\u00fck 140 milyon dolara mal olaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n