{"id":3390,"date":"2023-09-07T16:51:40","date_gmt":"2023-09-07T13:51:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/?p=3390"},"modified":"2023-09-07T16:51:40","modified_gmt":"2023-09-07T13:51:40","slug":"faiz-artirim-beklentilerine-revizyon-nasil-bir-ekonomi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/?p=3390","title":{"rendered":"Faiz art\u0131r\u0131m beklentilerine revizyon – Nas\u0131l Bir Ekonomi"},"content":{"rendered":"

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ABD’li yat\u0131r\u0131m bankas\u0131 JPMorgan, T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n (TCMB) Eyl\u00fcl ve Ekim’deki para politikas\u0131 kurulu (PPK) toplant\u0131lar\u0131ndaki faiz art\u0131r\u0131m beklentisini 250’\u015fer baz puandan 500’er baz puana \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Banka, mali harcama plan\u0131 ve artan enflasyon \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 gelecek iki ayda toplamda y\u00fczde 10 puan art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etti.<\/p>\n

Banka yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rma notunda, “\u015eu anda faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nden y\u00fcklemeli olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyoruz: \u00d6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen mali gev\u015feme ve yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc enflasyon s\u00fcrprizleri hesaba kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u00f6nceki 250’\u015fer BP’lik art\u0131\u015f tahmini yerine, Eyl\u00fcldeki PPK toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 500 BP ve ekimdeki PPK toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 500 BP’lik art\u0131r\u0131m bekliyoruz” dedi.<\/p>\n

JPMorgan, y\u00fczde 35’lik y\u0131l sonu faiz tahmini ve y\u00fczde 45’lik 2024 sonu faiz tahminine y\u00f6nelik “yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risklerin” oldu\u011funu da ekledi.<\/p>\n

Morgan Stanley, 5 puan art\u0131rd\u0131<\/h2>\n

ABD\u2019nin \u00f6nde gelen bankalar\u0131ndan Morgan Stanley, Orta Vadeli Program\u2019\u0131n (OVP) TCMB’ye ili\u015fkin faiz beklentisini g\u00fcncelledi.<\/p>\n

Bankan\u0131n iki ekonomisti Hande K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ile Alina Slyusarchuk imzal\u0131 \u201cOVP: Daha fazla s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma geliyor\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 notta, yeni faiz tahminlerine de yer verildi.<\/p>\n

Morgan Stanley, 2023 sonu i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 30 olan Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) politika faizi beklentisini y\u00fczde 35\u2019e y\u00fckseltti.<\/p>\n

Banka, TCMB\u2019nin eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 500 baz puan, ekim ve kas\u0131m toplant\u0131lar\u0131nda 250\u2019\u015fer baz puan faiz<\/a> art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131, b\u00f6ylece reel faizlerin 2023 sonunda, y\u00fczde 33\u2019l\u00fck 2024 sonu enflasyon beklentisine g\u00f6re pozitif b\u00f6lgeye ge\u00e7mesini bekliyor.<\/p>\n

Banka, TCMB\u2019nin politika faizini Mart 2024\u2019teki se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131nda ise y\u00fczde 40\u2019a y\u00fckseltmesini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Yeni TCMB y\u00f6netimi, politika faizini haziran toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 650 baz puan, temmuz toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 250 baz puan ve temmuz toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 750 baz puan art\u0131\u015fla y\u00fczde 25\u2019e y\u00fckseltmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

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[ad_1] ABD’li yat\u0131r\u0131m bankas\u0131 JPMorgan, T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n (TCMB) Eyl\u00fcl ve Ekim’deki para politikas\u0131<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3391,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3390","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3390","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3390"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3390\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/3391"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3390"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3390"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egemhabertv.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3390"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}