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\u2714Kerk\u00fck\u2019teki geli\u015fmelerin, D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Hakan Fidan\u2019\u0131n kapsaml\u0131 Irak ziyaretinden hemen sonraya denk gelmesi, AK Parti h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin Kerk\u00fck\u2019te ya\u015fananlar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda sessizli\u011fini korumas\u0131 da ayr\u0131ca dikkat \u00e7ekici.<\/em><\/p>\n \u2714Suriye\u2019deki as\u0131l sorun, etnik ya da mezhepsel silahl\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lerin kendi ba\u015flar\u0131na de\u011fil, farkl\u0131 \u00fclkelerin \u201cvekili\u201d olarak hareket etmeleri. Ancak kime \u201cvekalet\u201d edildi\u011fi, r\u00fczgar\u0131n ne y\u00f6nden esti\u011fiyle do\u011frudan ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131.<\/em><\/p>\n Ortado\u011fu\u2019nun kaderi de\u011fi\u015fmiyor; etnik ya da mezhepsel farkl\u0131l\u0131klar \u00fczerinden ya\u015fanan iti\u015f-kak\u0131\u015f, silahl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ve kaos bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc bitmiyor.<\/p>\n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin iki kom\u015fusu Suriye ve Irak, tam duruluyor derken, yeniden kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Esad rejimiyle normalle\u015fme ad\u0131mlar\u0131 atmas\u0131, Esad\u2019\u0131n bizzat Arap Birli\u011fi\u2019ne Suriye\u2019nin tek temsilcisi olarak yeniden kabul edilmesiyle birlikte Suriye\u2019deki i\u00e7 sava\u015f\u0131n art\u0131k durulmaya y\u00fcz tutaca\u011f\u0131 tahminleri yap\u0131l\u0131yordu. Ancak tahminler tutmad\u0131.<\/p>\n Suriye\u2019deki as\u0131l sorun, etnik ya da mezhepsel silahl\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lerin kendi ba\u015flar\u0131na de\u011fil, farkl\u0131 \u00fclkelerin \u201cvekili\u201d olarak hareket etmeleri. Ancak kime \u201cvekalet\u201d edildi\u011fi, r\u00fczgar\u0131n ne y\u00f6nden esti\u011fiyle do\u011frudan ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131. \u0130\u00e7 sava\u015f\u0131n iyiden iyiye yozla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u015firet ya da etnik liderler, y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in paraya ve g\u00fcce bak\u0131yorlar.<\/p>\n Suriye\u2019nin g\u00fcneydo\u011fusunda, Irak s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda yer alan Dey-i Zor\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar da, bu \u201cduruma g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015fen ittifaklar\u0131n\u201d bir \u00f6rne\u011fi; B\u00f6lgedeki Arap a\u015firetleri, I\u015e\u0130D\u2019le m\u00fccadele kapsam\u0131nda PKK ter\u00f6r \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcn Suriye uzant\u0131s\u0131 PYD-YPG ile y\u0131llard\u0131r i\u015fbirli\u011fi yap\u0131yorlard\u0131. Ancak yerelde PYD-YPG ile Araplar aras\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7 rekabeti, son g\u00fcnlerde s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015f durumda. B\u00f6lgenin as\u0131l kontrol\u00fcn\u00fcn ABD\u2019de oldu\u011fu, hem PYD-YPG\u2019nin hem de Arap a\u015firetlerin y\u0131llarca Amerikan askerleri ile i\u015fbirli\u011fi yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, ilgin\u00e7 bir geli\u015fme bu. Belli ki Arap a\u015firetleri, Esad\u2019\u0131n Arap d\u00fcnyas\u0131yla bar\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 da f\u0131rsat bilip, taraf de\u011fi\u015ftirme ve Deyr-i zor b\u00f6lgesel y\u00f6netimindeki PYD-YPG a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131rma e\u011filimine girmi\u015fler.<\/p>\n B\u00f6lgedeki etkin g\u00fc\u00e7 olan ABD\u2019nin \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalara sessizli\u011fi de ayr\u0131ca dikkat \u00e7ekici. \u0130ki \u201cm\u00fcttefiki\u201d birbiriyle \u00e7at\u0131\u015f\u0131rken Amerikal\u0131lar\u2019\u0131n m\u00fcdahale etmemesi, Washington y\u00f6netiminin -daha \u00f6nce pek \u00e7ok kez yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi- yeni bir ittifak de\u011fi\u015ftirme hamlesi olabilir mi? Bu sorunun yan\u0131t\u0131, ABD\u2019nin son d\u00f6nemde yeniden a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k kazanan \u201cOrtado\u011fu\u2019da \u0130ran etkisini k\u0131rma\u201d plan\u0131yla da ilintili. Irak-Suriye s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n \u0130ran yanl\u0131s\u0131 milislerin ge\u00e7i\u015fine kapat\u0131lmas\u0131 ABD\u2019nin i\u015fine gelir. Bunu kim sa\u011flarsa, ABD de onunla i\u015fbirli\u011fi yapacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n Suriye\u2019de dengeler yeniden de\u011fi\u015firken, Kuzey Irak\u2019\u0131n da kar\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 tesad\u00fcf de\u011fil elbette; Irak\u2019taki kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131n merkezi bug\u00fcnlerde Kerk\u00fck.<\/p>\n Kerk\u00fck, Irak Anayasas\u0131\u2019na g\u00f6re Ba\u011fdat y\u00f6netimine ba\u011fl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekirken, I\u015e\u0130D\u2019in b\u00f6lgeden temizlenmesi sonras\u0131nda Kuzey Irakl\u0131 K\u00fcrtlerin kontrol\u00fcne ge\u00e7mi\u015fti. Ancak 2017\u2019de Barzani ve Talabani a\u015firetlerinin \u201cIrak\u2019tan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k referandumuna\u201d kalk\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131yla birlikte, Ba\u011fdat merkezi h\u00fck\u00fcmeti Kerk\u00fck\u2019\u00fcn y\u00f6netimini geri alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n \u015eimdilerde Ba\u011fdat\u2019taki Sudani h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kentin y\u00f6netimini yeniden K\u00fcrtlere devretmek ad\u0131na ad\u0131mlar atmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu ad\u0131mlara kar\u015f\u0131 da, Kerk\u00fckl\u00fc T\u00fcrkmenler ve kentteki Araplar aya\u011fa kalkt\u0131.<\/p>\n Belli ki Kuzey Irak\u2019ta da \u201cittifaklar\u201d yeniden de\u011fi\u015fiyor. Son not olarak \u015funu da ifade etmek gerek;<\/p>\n \u00d6zellikle Kerk\u00fck\u2019teki geli\u015fmelerin, D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Hakan Fidan\u2019\u0131n kapsaml\u0131 Irak ziyaretinden hemen sonraya denk gelmesi, AK Parti h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin Kerk\u00fck\u2019te ya\u015fananlar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda sessizli\u011fini korumas\u0131 da ayr\u0131ca dikkat \u00e7ekici.<\/p>\n Belli ki Ankara da, Suriye ve Irak\u2019ta kurulan yeni dengelerde pazarl\u0131\u011f\u0131n bir k\u00f6\u015fesinde yer al\u0131yor. Bundan \u201ckarl\u0131 m\u0131, yoksa zararl\u0131 m\u0131\u201d \u00e7\u0131k\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ise zaman g\u00f6sterecek…<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\nDeyr-i zor \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131; Amerikan m\u00fcttefikleri kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya <\/strong><\/h2>\n
\u0130ran\u2019\u0131 \u00e7evreleme politikas\u0131 <\/strong><\/h2>\n
Kuzey Irak da kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k <\/strong><\/h2>\n